Publication Date

2025

Document Type

Dissertation/Thesis

First Advisor

Xia, Chaoxiong

Degree Name

M.S. (Master of Science)

Legacy Department

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science

Abstract

This study examines the impact of climate change on rural-to-urban migration in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Based on a primary survey of 400 respondents across 35 slums in the country's second-largest city, the analysis employs two estimation methods: a multinomial logit model to assess the influence of climate-related factors on migration decisions, and a logit model to evaluate the impact of migration on the living conditions of migrants. The results show that individuals involved in ‘agriculture and daily labor’ are most likely to migrate. Compared to the base category (‘Other Reasons’) for migration, the odds ratios for ‘floods’, ‘droughts’, and ‘better job opportunities’ are 28.84, 10.957, and 7.085, respectively—each statistically significant at the 1% or 5% level. Additionally, the second model suggests that migration improves living conditions by a factor of 1.92, a statistically significant result. Overall, the findings suggest that while climate change plays a role in migration, economic reasons—especially the search for better employment—remain the primary driver in developing countries like Bangladesh.

Extent

42 pages

Language

en

Publisher

Northern Illinois University

Rights Statement

In Copyright

Rights Statement 2

NIU theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from Huskie Commons for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without the written permission of the authors.

Media Type

Text

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